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Mathematical evidence there is a God.
When we speak of evidence we speak of probabilities. Some probabilities can be figured exactly. The chance that you can call the toss of a coin correctly is one in two. To call it correctly, twice in a row, is one-half of one-half of a chance, or one-quarter of a chance. Put another way, itís three to one against calling the toss of a coin correctly twice in a row.
There are probabilities that canít be figured exactly, only estimated.
If you were going to the phone to call a friend that you hadnít spoken to in three months and the phone rings and itís him, this is a long shot. You can only estimate the probability of it happening. If something has happened that day that is of a large interest to both of you, it makes the probability much smaller. Still you can`t come up with an exact figureóonly an estimate.
Letís go back to probabilities that can be figured exactly.
In January, Joe Smith bets a dollar in a lottery and wins a million dollars. (To make it simple we will assume that the lottery people don`t take anything.) Joe had a million to one shot occur.
In February, Joe bets a dollar and wins another million. The chance of this happening twice in a row is one chance in 1,000,000,000,000.
In March, Joe bets a dollar and wins another million. The odds against three million to one shots, in a row, is one chance in 1,000,000,000,000,000,000. Joe is on international television.
Both in April and May, Joe bets a dollar and gets the same results. The odds are now 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 to one. The police put Joe in jail while they look for his accomplices.
Letís take a series of long shots that exact figures canít be based on. A young man, Jack Dreyfus, won the City Golf Championship, of Montgomery, Ala., twice, before he was twenty. He won eighteen club championships at four different country clubs and qualified for the National Amateur three times out of three. When he was fifty he stopped playing golf. At the age of sixty-one, with a great partner, he won the National Open Doubles Lawn Tennis Championship for sixties and over (open means for pros and amateurs). When he was seventy, in Australia, he won the Worldís Open Doubles Lawn Tennis Championship for seventies and over. Jack was not a professional athlete. Itís probably a hundred million to one against this. Letís use a conservative figure of a million to one.
When he was twenty-eight, Jack qualified for the Mastersí Bridge Tournament. When he was thirty, he devised a scientific method for playing gin rummy and beat the best players. The Encyclopedia of Bridge, for twenty years, said he was reputed to be the best gin rummy player in the United States. Master Bridge player and best gin rummy player in the United States. Letís estimate itís a million to one shot.
He bred racehorses. Twice he received the Turf Writers Award for the Best Breeder of the Year. He was head of the Horsemenís Benevolent and Protective Association and conducted a boycott against the State, enabling the horsemen to get an extra half percent of the ďtake.Ē †He received the Fitzsimmons Award, ďOne Who Contributed Most to the Best Interests of Racing.Ē He was elected a member of the Board of Trustees of The New York Racing Association. On two occasions he was made Chairman, the only person who was Chairman twice, and he received the Eclipse Award, ďMan Who Did the Most for Racing.Ē Itís reasonable to estimate that itís a million to one against such a career in racing.
Jack started a small brokerage firm. Business was poor and advertising was necessary. The budget was so small, that he had to write the advertisements himself. He had no education or training in advertising. Competing against the best advertising agencies, his firm received a gold trophy for best advertising on Wall Street, the first award given by Standard & Poorís. Itís reasonable to estimate itís a million to one against this.
A mutual fund was started which Jack managed for twelve years. It got the best record of all the funds. We wonít put a figure on that. He wrote the prospectus and did the promotion and received an award, ďOne of the five best marketing persons for the 1960 to 1970 decade.Ē The odds against this are tremendous. But letís call it just a million to one.
The head of research for Polaroid, recommended that he buy the stock because they were making 3D glasses, and he did. 3D movies didnít succeed. But this brought Jackís attention to the Polaroid camera and he figured if it had come first, Eastman Kodak would have had a hard time selling its camera. So he bought a lot of stock and made a tremendous amount of money. Secretary of State, William Rogers, a close friend, said he was one of the twenty-five richest men in the country. (There was only one billionaire at that time.) As a boy he hadnít made a go of three jobs at $15.00 a week. His mother thought he would never make a living, and his father thought he was lazy. Yet he became one of the richest men in the United States. This is certainly a million to one shot.
But nothing important had happened. Then something did.
After suffering from an endogenous depression for over five years, Jack asked his physician to give him a drug not known to be useful for his symptoms. It worked promptly. Over the next year he introduced six people with similar conditions to physicians to receive the drug, and they all had similar responses. For a patient to ask his physician for one drug out of a pharmacopeia of thousands, and be correct, is unheard of. A billion to one, but letís call it a million to one.
The chance of one man having seven million to one shots occur is one in 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.
After unsuccessful attempts to get the medical profession to investigate, Jack felt obligated to leave his highly successful businesses in Wall Street to research the medicine, and established a Medical Foundation.
Over the years the Foundation discovered this medicine had been reported useful for over seventy symptoms and disorders, by independent and objective physicians around the world, in 350 medical journals, written in twenty different languages. The Foundation condensed these studies into bibliographies, one in 1970, another in 1975 and a third in 1988, and sent them to all the physicians in the U.S. The last bibliography contained 3,100 medical references and was accompanied by a book, A Remarkable Medicine Has Been Overlooked, which Jack wrote.
Due mostly to the Foundationís efforts, phenytoin is now being used in China, Russia, Ghana, India and Mexico for over fifty symptoms and disorders. Although it was introduced in the United States, its only listing with the FDA is for a single disorder.
As shown earlier, it was a 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 against Jack doing all these things on his own. There must have been a God that helped him.
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